Ebola infections in West Africa could hit 1.4 million by the end of January if current trends continue and no immediate, large-scale increase in response measures is taken, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said in a new estimate.

“Extrapolating trends to January 20, 2015, without additional interventions or changes in community behavior,” such as safety improvements for burial practices, CDC researchers said the number of Ebola cases in Liberia and Sierra Leone could be anywhere from 550,000 to 1.4 million.

“The findings in this report underscore the substantial public health challenges posed by the predicted number of future Ebola cases,” the CDC wrote. “If conditions continue without scale-up of interventions, cases will continue to double approximately every 20 days, and the number of cases in West Africa will rapidly reach extraordinary levels.” [Read more]

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